Chile – Ecuador
pick: 1 -1 AH
odds: 2.01 Pinny
Again going on drifter, no big luck with these lately but I really cannot skip this one here.
Chile probably with their best squad of all time with Vargas, Sanchez, Pinilla, Bravo, Medel, Isla, etc. are looking forward to their first Copa victory. Coach Sampaoli is using control football (last clash vs Ecuador they had 77% possesion) and for Chile this is do or die – nobody think about the future, all experienced players and biggest stars are here, ready for their biggest success at national level. Of course, huge support is expected in Santiago. Undoubtedy they have much bigger strenght in midfield and attack
Ecuador without probably one of their biggest stars Valencia while majority of team comes from local clubs like Emelc, barcelona, Independiente, etc. They have a poor record in Copa America, despite being quite strong in qualifiers.. Reason is home matches they play in Quito where altitude hits stronger opponents quite hard. Also, Ecuador has 0 wins against Chile as visitors.
Also, needless to say we can expect a push from the reffeeree in the first clash.
Few things against this pick: huge pressure and shaky defence of hosts.
Odds jumped from 1.90 to 2.01, I believe fair is -1 with 1.75-1.80.