Fognini is a foolish player but he is very strong. If he was clever he could play against everyone on this surface. Rublev today won against Verdasco but Verdasco serve was very poor.
IMO he can't won against a strong player like Fognini, italian need points so here in Barcelona he has to win this easy matches if he want to hope in a good placement. He didn't play a good tennis in Montecarlo, he won against Janowicz but because Janowicz was clearly injured. In this tournament he will improve his rythm. High confidence on Fabio PD.