Valerenga AH -2,5 goals

Gjovik/Lyn is weak 3. league side. They are after 3 rounds this season pointless, on last place with 1-7 goal difference. Even if they finished last season in middle of table, this year they will obviously fight fro staying in league. This match really isn't important for them and they know they can't do much here.

Valerenga started season very well, but last home match they were defeated by Aalesunds which was not expected. In first round of cup they beaten Lokomotiv Oslo 0:8 which is one league below Gjovik, but were unlike them in very good form. In this match vs Lokomotiv have chance some reserve players that will play today and grabbed it with great efficiensy. Moussa Nije scored hattrick, Omarrson scored once, Berge once, all players who play more for Valerenga II in 3. league.

I can't see Gjovik being much stronger than Lokomotiv so score won't be much better for them. Valerenga when playing against lower league sides in cup matches is beating them with high margins: 1:12, 0:3, 1:6, 1:8, 0:5, 0:8 when facing third or lower league sides. 3 goals difference here really isn't high. GL.

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Austria surprisingly won over Switzerland after penalties 3-4 and then come defeat 1-6 from Sweden that put them on ground. In that match they rested their first GK who will probably be on ice today.
France played very tough matches in first two rounds, both losses, 1-2 to Germany and 1-3 to Switzerland. We can see that their attack is not very powerful, but on other side defensive part of team is preety much good.
In last 3 H2H matches all big unders: 3-1, 3-1 nad 0-2, all France wins.
This match is very important for both teams not to lose as then will be very close to relegation. I expect defensive and concentrated approach from both teams that will result in small number of goals. GL.

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Zagreb is on 5. place with 5-3 record, but have 1 match less than others and with win here will go on 3. place, just behind Cedevita and Cibona. Only 6 matches left for them and matches like this must be win easily. They lost only to Cibona twice and away at Kvarner. In regular season they finished 1.
Alkar is very bad in this group. They were 5. in regular season and last that make it through. Now they are last with only 1 win in 9 matches. They have very bad results what is consequence of them missing 3 players from starting 5 for a long time, S.Modric, A.Bilic, N.Gaurina. GL.

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This margin is very good. Two very offensive minded times meets for 2. time in 3 days. Avtodor is highest scoring team of league and Khimki is also just there with more than 90 per match. In first match result was 99-77 so over this margin, but still I see much space for Avtodor's at least 10 pts more here with a little better shooting. In last H2H match before playoff, Avtodor beat Khimki 101-76, while also in last match of regular part they won at CSKA 104-107. They can and must perform better today with their most powerful weapon, attack. GL.

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In this league, only reserve teams take part. In today's match we have home team Ullisses who is on last, 8. place, with only 14 points, but they have match or even 2 less than team above them. They have only 4 wins in 22 matches, but all were in last 9 matches, when they got much serious and now have solid results. Especially they are good at home, all 4 wins were at home in last 5 home matches. 5-4, 4-0 and twice 2-1 even against good teams like Banants II and Ararat II.

Gandzasar started well, but now have 6 defeats in 7 last matches, with only win coming against Mika II who has worst results lately and losing all matches. They are in middle of table with 26 points in 23 matches. In that 6 losses there are huge ones: 0-4, 6-0, 6-1, 0-4 and 8-1. Very bad results.

These two played 3 matches this season, all Gandzasar big wins: 4-2, 2-5 and 4-0, but that is all while Ullisses were very bad and Gandzasar in good form. Now situation is much different and home team has much chance to win this one. GL.

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Slaven is in good form now, they are in safe zone now, they even can take part in fight for 4. place and going to EL Qualifications. They are 3. best home team this season, 8-4-2 record and 9 matches without loss at home. In that 9 matches 7 wins and only 2 draws, with 2 strongest teams Dinamo and Rijeka. Since coach Cacic take the team, they are performing really well.

Hajduk on other side is in crash. Last 7 matches, 2 draws and 5 losses, they dropped out of cup and will hardly hold 4. place. Away they have 5 losses from last 6 matches, including 3 in row, where in all matches their performance was huge disappoint. They are changing coach by coach after only few matches and still don't get that they are not problem, problem is in squad. Team is consisted of mix of mostly young, unexpirienced players and much overrated expirienced ones. Above everything they will be without probably best GK in league Kalinic, one big talent and currently IMO best player, Balic, two attackers, Gotal and Maglica, defender Nizic. They are all injured. Suspended are defenders Milovic and Vrsajevic. Hajduk in squad like this, without this players is team for bottom of 2. league, no offense to anybody, just reality.

In H2H Hajduk is much better, they won last match here 0-1, but back then Slaven was on last place, playing really poorly and Hajduk was still "alive". Last year in same phase, few rounds until end of season 3-0 win for Slaven. If this match is played in conditions like were at start of season, odds of 2,50 will be funny small on Slaven's win, but now I think that is even to high. GL.

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Norway lower divisions finally starting and this is matches full of goals in most of times.

Today we have two teams that are promoted last year from 3. division by winning their groups. Lillestrom II had great results and at home in 13 matches they didn't lose any single point, while scoring almost 6 goals per match and allowing 0,5. 10/13 times they went over this margin at home and 19/26 times totally. What is important for this bet, they also were scoring at least 3 goals in encounters with top teams, not just against weaker ones.

Today will have tough exam against Drammen. They weren't such convincing in their group so they had weaker record than today's hosts. When playing away, average scoring was 4,25 goals per match, while going above 3,5 goals in 9/12 matches and 18/24 totally. Also when playing against other teams from higher part of table, at least 4 goals were scored and usually even more.

They haven't previous matches between each other. At this odds, when we see in which percentage they played with 4 or more goals, for sure value is big. Their style played last season is very attacking and there isn't any reason to be different now. GL.

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I will try some pick from baseball, which I love to watch, as other sports just didn't work right for me these days.

St.Louis have great team, few years in row are on top. This season started very good for them 7-3 record and today they have chance to have clear cut in series against Reds. Whole team plays very good in defense, only 23 runs allowed in 10 games. They have great squad, few top class batters: Carpenter, Heyward, Holliday, J.Peralta, Molina among others.

On mound Cardinals will send their probably best pitcher and one of best in league, Adam Wainwright. He throws perfectly his whole career, have awesome numbers, 3,00 ERA and only 1,16 WHIP are great. He has good 0,85 SO per inning. This season he strted very well, in 2 matches 1-1 record, 2,08 ERA and 1,08 WHIP. Reds's batters are not very good when facing Wainwright, they have only 0,240 BAA and 0,296 OBP against him. Last season he is 2-0 against Reds, 4-0 and 1-0 wins, only 8 hits, 5 walks over 15 innings and 21 SO!

Reds started season not so good, 5-6 record and their defense is not on high level. 48 runs allowed in 11 matches are showing many holes in the system.

Reds will send on mound Mike Leake, average pitcher IMO, 3,93 ERA and 1,30 WHIP through career and only 0,69 SO per inning. This season started twice, having 4,97 ERA and 1,50 WHIP which really isn't good. In all categories he is weaker pitcher than Wainwright. Against Cardinals he have really poor record in last 2 seasons, 6 losses (8-6, 15-2, 9-2, 8-4, 6-5, 4-0) and 2 wins only (4-0 and 9-5). There were some really big defeats and today can repeat one of them. Cards batters totally have nice 0,301 BAA against him.

This season they played 5 matches until now, today they are ending second series, Reds won only first match, 5-4, while losing next 4 all pretty convincing: 1-4, 5-7, 6-1 and 5-2.

I think 2 runs difference must be passed by Cards here for sure and 3 or more is also reality to expect and odds here are just amazing. GL.

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Big fight here expected. Both teams are fighting to avoid relegation. Zadar stands little better as they have 3 pts more and a point here will be huge, as they will still had 3 pts more and in case of being tied at the end, they will be above Osijek because of better H2H.

Osijek started second part of season very good, but then big fall in their game. They have only 2 draws in last 5 games, against Rijeka at home and Lokomotiva away. What is good, is that in last 2 matches they were much better opponent, despite losing against Slaven 2-1 and this draw later. Osijek's coach Susak said that today just total offensive gets into consideration. They will have attacking trio Vojnovic-Perosevic-Aneff start the match. Only Mesanovic out (bookings).

Zadar started played really well under Stimac, they are in great form, 3 wins, draw and lose in last 5 is good achievement for them. All wins are very important, against Istra and Slaven in fight for staying in league and last one over Lokomotiva 1-5, but Loko coach said that they played like sh*t and anybody will crush them in match like that. Anyway 3 penalties were in that match for Zadar. There are rumors that referees are pushing on Zadar's side and in at least 3 matches help them a lot. Against Istra penalty and red card for Istra after questionable foul, against Osijek in last match penalty which haven't been for 1-1 and directly afect on final score. At the top of everything in win over Slaven goal scored with hand. This is just to much and they must be under watching now. They will be without D.Misic (bookings). Stimac said before this match that will be happy with point, but will try to attack.

In H2H in most of matches hosts win. However Osijek haven't lost from Zadar at home in last 12 years and that was only Zadar's win here. Total 22 Osijek wins, 3 draws and 1 Zadar win in Gradski vrt. 61-12 is goal difference in this matches and shows huge Osijek's domination in these encounters. Last 2 matches here were 4-1 and 4-0, even Osijek was also this weak as now. Here without referees help, just by performance on court, Osijek is big favourite. GL.

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I found this match interesting as Brisbane team can't use help from A-team players Brady, Yango and Theodore, which played yesterday match for first team. This players took part in all previous matches for young team, except Yango, he played only last 2.

They have pretty much weird results this season: first they drawn twice against worst teams in league, 1-1 and 2-2 both away. Then played weirdest match ever, 12-0 win over Western Pride, not so so bad team this season. And last one easy 5-1 lost against Strikers. Last year they were bad, on 10. place of 13 teams. Nothing special at home, this is not their advantage.

FNQ have been great, 2. placed last season, but this one started little slow. They won two worst teams of league which Brisbane drawn with, wtih 3-6 and 5-0. Lost against Strikers 0-1 and 2-3 to N.Fury. Also one more draw 2-2 away against Sunshine Coast.

Because of missings, I give advantage to guests today.

H2H also very weird. They played only twice, last season. Both teams won away, Brisbane with 1:8, and later FNQ with 2:5. GL.

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